Great News From Builder Online!
In October, permits came in at the highest level seen in 19 months.
At long last, the housing industry is showing signs of life. Permits were up 10.9% in October to an annual rate of 653,000, the best reading the industry has seen in 19 months, according to data released today by the U.S. Census Bureau. On an annual basis, permits were up 17.7%. Both single-family and multifamily permits were up on a monthly basis, 5.1% and 24.4%, respectively.
While housing starts slipped by 0.3%, they were up 16.5% year-over-year. The monthly decrease was fueled by an 8.3% dip in multifamily starts, after the sector saw a 35.0% increase in September. The change brought the annual rate for units in buildings of five units or more to 183,000. Single-family starts were up 3.9% for the month, for an annual rate of 430,000.
The news helps to substantiate yesterday’s report that builders are feeling more optimistic about the industry than they have been for more than a year, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), which tracks builder confidence.
The numbers are still low, of course. Both starts and permits will likely set record lows this year, and while an HMI reading of 20 is higher than it’s been since May 2010, it would take a reading of more than 50 to indicate that a majority of builders describe conditions as “good.”
Still, the report was a good one, wrote Patrick Newport, U.S. economist at IHS Global Insight, in a statement today. “It has supporting evidence that the single-family market is finally getting off the mat and that the multifamily segment is continuing to make small strides, and that we should expect good housing starts numbers the rest of this year.”
Claire Easley is a senior editor at Builder.
Reprint from Nation’s Building News – The Official Online Newspaper of NAHB
Debt Restructuring Helping Builders Survive Today’s Financial Crisis
(This is the first in a series of articles on what builders need to know about restructuring their debt and planning for surviving financial adversity in today’s real estate market.)
By David McCain and Bill Albers, MPKA, LLC
Even as the promise of a housing recovery moves closer into sight, debt restructuring is the name of the game for many builders in their attempt to set themselves on a realistic course and survive the worst economic times since the Great Depression.
There is a natural progression of emotions that unfolds as we see our financial world disintegrate around us. Initial thoughts center on protecting the equity we have invested in our projects, and for many this can represent years of profits, time and personal guarantees rolled over from one community to the next.
As real estate entrepreneurs, we understand dirt, real estate and hard assets and tend to shy away from paper stocks and bonds. Unfortunately, in an effort to protect what we have, we continue to make payments against a loan and a project that will never pencil out under current conditions.
Embracing self denial, we can’t believe that our project will fail. With a Herculean effort, we know we can make it succeed. So we embark on the impossible task of seeking take-out capital at full origination value in a market that most likely doesn’t even support half of that value.
Eventually, we begin to capitulate, both emotionally and financially, as we realize that our project just doesn’t support its original value, we have run out of money to support it and we are not going to be able to convince anyone to invest in it despite our best efforts. Ultimately, we are forced to seek help.
Shortcomings of Self Reliance
After realizing that a project is in need of significant financial right sizing and requires debt restructuring, it is only natural to want to attack the problem ourselves. For some, this method can actually succeed. After all, why incur the expense of hiring a professional if you can find the solution yourself?
But for most builders, hiring a professional is the most economically beneficial alternative. Too often, self-help advocates are too emotionally invested in the project, in their personal balance sheet (exposed as a result of personal guarantees) and in their relationship with the bank officer to be successful.
More often than not, the banker with whom we have been friendly for 20 years is replaced by a skeptical work-out officer, or, worse yet, our bank gets taken over and is merged or falls into government control.
As a real estate entrepreneur, we may have spent an entire lifetime making our financial resumes as strong and viable as possible. But in the debt restructuring arena, the weaker the financial resume, the greater is the likelihood of reducing or eliminating lender demands for payments on bloated loan balances or contributions towards personal guarantee obligations. Humility, not hubris, is the winning formula for a successful outcome.
Once we have decided we need help, the next natural inclination is to engage legal counsel. This can often be counterproductive. While some attorneys are exceptional negotiators and deal makers, many are fierce advocates, trained to win at all costs. But regardless of that, as soon as you communicate to the bank that you have hired counsel, all direct bank communication will cease. With a fiduciary responsibility to do so, the bank will hire counsel to speak to your counsel. As a result, your communications, now filtered, will become more guarded and formal (not to mention the fact that you will end up paying the fees for both your counsel and the bank’s counsel).
In most instances, the bank will hire litigation counsel that is well versed in foreclosure and collection. Your counsel will need to be well versed in debtors’ rights and borrower defenses. The game plan will change from workout and restructure negotiations to a battle over taking or keeping title to the property and valuing the property so that your personal balance sheet can be attacked.
Any negotiations from this point forward will likely occur after each litigation milestone is reached and as leverage changes in favor of one party or the other depending on the outcome of each step. At this point, the bank will seek to enforce the four corners of the loan documents by taking title and collecting any deficiency due against the note as a result of the diminished property value. You will absolutely be playing defense in this scenario. Judgments obtained in most states are recorded and are collectable for up to 20 years. In addition, to help execute them most states allow a creditor to take depositions in which you will have to disclose your entire financial life and produce a massive amount of financial documents. As you can easily see, playing out the litigation process is wrought with peril and uncertainty, except for the certainty of cost, time and expense.
No Substitute for Experience
The help that builders need is most likely to come from a debt restructure specialist, who negotiates loan workouts and creative solutions to real estate and financing issues in a controlled and non-confrontational environment. The right debt restructure specialist can be welcomed as a participant by both the bank and the borrower.
The effectiveness of the debt restructure negotiator depends on many factors. The most successful typically possess a unique combination of skills and professional experiences not easily duplicated, coupled with credibility and professionalism.
The ideal attributes of this specialist are first, the lack of emotional attachment to the original real estate project or the balance sheet of the borrower, guarantor or bank.
Next, the ability to evaluate a project from a multitude of perspectives is essential. For instance, the specialist should have lending experience to be able to appreciate and understand banking issues and processes, including: risk-based capital and loan-to-value issues; accounting laws and banking regulations that artificially create opportunities or requirements to take or forgo certain actions; experience and understanding of loan and special asset committees; skills to evaluate the capacity to pay; and the ability to communicate to bankers on this level.
In addition, the specialist should have experience as a borrower, home builder and developer, so there is familiarity with operational, development and entitlement issues, sales and marketing, demographics, appropriate product offerings and mixes, development timelines and the resources required to make a project successful.
Also, the specialist should have experience as a private equity investor, so there is an understanding of the returns investors expect, investment timeline horizons and the relationships within the private equity arena needed to provide a ready stable of available capital to support restructuring solutions.
Finally, the specialist should have legal and litigation experience to be knowledgeable of the differing foreclosure laws and timelines of each state, including insolvency and bankruptcy issues.
And while this mix of lending, developing, investing and legal experiences is ideal, it still needs to be coupled with the ability to analyze potential resolutions from all four perspectives, create a solution and then mediate a fair and acceptable resolution for all. There is no substitute for experience. Your vetting process should include a careful review of candidates’ backgrounds and experience in the four areas discussed above. Choose debt restructure specialists that have a proven track record of results in today’s environment.
The next article in this series will describe the debt restructuring process, realistic expectations, restructure methods and potential outcomes.
In future articles, the debt restructure specialists of MPKA will delve into case studies of recently transacted deals.
David McCain and Bill Albers are the principals of MPKA, LLC. They have successfully restructured more than $1 billion worth of home builder and developer debt over the last 24 months.
Please call Claire Spence at 281-359-2118 to schedule a call with David McCain or Bill Albers.